by Gene J. Koprowski
May 19, 2010
The Statue of
Liberty, depicted as frozen solid in the movie
The Day After Tomorrow.
New research from a
leading geologist indicates a coming period of "global cooling" may
The hottest new trend in climate change
may be global cooling, some researchers say.
Contrary to the commonly held scientific conclusion that the Earth
is getting warmer, Dr. Don Easterbrook, emeritus professor of
geology at Western Washington University and author of more than 150
peer-reviewed papers, has unveiled evidence for his prediction that
global cooling is coming soon.
“Rather than global warming at a
rate of 1°F per decade, records of past natural cycles indicate
there may be global cooling for the first few decades of the 21st
century to about 2030,” said Easterbrook, speaking on a
scientific panel discussion with other climatologists.
This, he says, will likely be followed
by “global warming from about 2030 to 2060,” which will then be
followed by another cooling spell from 2060 to 2090.
Easterbrook spoke before a group of about 700 scientists and
government officials at the fourth International
Conference on Climate Change. The
conference is presented annually in Chicago by the
Heartland Institute, a
conservative nonprofit think tank that actively questions the theory
of man's role in global warming.
Last year the Institute published
Climate Change Reconsidered, a
comprehensive reply to the United Nations' latest report on climate
"Global warming is over - at least
for a few decades," Easterbrook told conference attendees.
"However, the bad news is that global cooling is even more
harmful to humans than global warming, and a cause for even
Easterbrook made several stunning claims
about the effects of the coming cold.
There will be twice as many people
killed by extreme cold than by extreme heat, he predicted, and
global food production will suffer because of the shorter, cooler
growing seasons and bad weather during harvest seasons.
But not everyone is breaking out the overcoat and mittens.
“It's absurd to talk of global
cooling when global heating is with us now and accelerating,"
said Dan Miller, managing director of the Roda Group, and an
expert on climate change.
"According to NASA, this past April
was the hottest since temperature measurements began. And 2010
is on track to be the hottest year since temperature records
“North America was relatively cool last year, but the Earth as a
whole was much warmer than average,” he said.
Data from the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Agency (NOAA)
also points to a warming trend. The agency
recently reported that global land
and ocean surface temperatures for the first four months of 2010
were the warmest it had on record.
Easterbrook, one of 75 climate and policy experts presenting at the
conference, uncovered sudden climate fluctuations of warming and
cooling - all of which occurred before 1945, when carbon
dioxide levels began to rise sharply - through geologic evidence.
Ten big climate changes occurred over the past 15,000 years, and
another 60 smaller changes occurred in the past 5,000 years.
Based on new analysis of ice cores from Greenland to Antarctica,
Easterbrook said global temperatures rose and fell from 9 to 15
degrees in a century or less - swings that he said were
In addition, he explained that energy consumption will rise - and
consumer prices will rise along with it - and political and social
instability could result as the world population grows 50 percent in
the next 40 years while food and energy demand soars.
Another presenter at the conference, James M. Taylor, an
environmental policy expert and a fellow at the Heartland Institute,
said that global cooling is already happening. Based on figures
provided by the
Rutgers University Global Snow Lab,
he noted that snow records from the last 10 years exceeded the
records set in the 1960s and 1970s.
A sign of global cooling?
"This past decade set a record for
largest average global snow extent,” Taylor said.